CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6dc5cceb91247de6ed2be8b66b83ff75b8e73db22d7a17f723574fe3562a431
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Ursa | 62c | 4,114$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.67 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Bebop | 37c | 1,950$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.65 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Bebop | 37c | 1,919$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.36 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Ursa | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Bebop | 34c | 823.06$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Ursa | 62c | 563.47$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Bebop | 40c | 510.92$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.32 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Bebop | 40c | 482$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Ursa | 69c | 430.71$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Ursa | 62c | 397.72$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.13 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 63c | 389.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ursa | 66c | 350.86$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Bebop | 21c | 341.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 44c | 319.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…3bd4backed Ursa | 61c | 302.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bebop | 53c | 264.84$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Bebop | 40c | 254.73$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.89 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Bebop | 38c | 247.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Ursa | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bebop | 37c | 233.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Ursa | 63c | 223.23$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Bebop | 60c | 182.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Ursa | 62c | 181.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Bebop | 30c | 165.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…c2fabacked Ursa | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…45dfbacked Ursa | 65c | 150.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Ursa | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Ursa | 63c | 139.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Bebop | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Bebop | 27c | 125.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Bebop | 38c | 121.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Ursa | 57c | 119.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Bebop | 34c | 119.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Bebop | 39c | 112.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…fb78backed Bebop | 36c | 103.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Bebop | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Bebop | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Bebop | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Bebop | 37c | 96.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Ursa | 80c | 83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Bebop | 37c | 79.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…316ebacked Bebop | 36c | 79.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Bebop | 39c | 77.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…9c40backed Ursa | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Bebop | 36c | 75.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bebop | 46c | 73.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Ursa | 64c | 68.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…133ebacked Bebop | 37c | 67.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…a846backed Ursa | 50c | 66.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Ursa | 69c | 64.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Ursa | 62c | 62.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Bebop | 38c | 54.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Bebop | 32c | 51.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ursa | 62c | 49.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Ursa | 66c | 48.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed Ursa | 57c | 44.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…3a45backed Bebop | 38c | 43.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…c27dbacked Bebop | 29c | 38.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Ursa | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Ursa | 78c | 36.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Bebop | 36c | 36.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Ursa | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Ursa | 50c | 29.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed Bebop | 39c | 28.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Bebop | 37c | 27.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…41a5backed Ursa | 38c | 27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Ursa | 71c | 26.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bebop | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7d…d99cbacked Ursa | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Ursa | 68c | 24.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Ursa | 66c | 24.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Ursa | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1908…5649backed Bebop | 57c | 18.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Ursa | 63c | 17.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerUrsa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.