Mls · resolved market
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db202ad764904088ac1c53f768f042f65306245981f97bc5c441428f54532d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,100 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 46c | 85,265$38,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,395.98 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Over | 55c | 27,994$15,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,391.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Over | 55c | 25,081$13,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,793.74 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 4,209$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.22 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 46c | 3,940$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 3,623$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.22 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 2,787$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.76 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 56c | 2,319$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 2,316$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 56c | 2,216$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 54c | 1,619$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Over | 55c | 1,579$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 47c | 1,534$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.04 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,303$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.72 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 1,296$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.66 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 33c | 1,260$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 55c | 1,053$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 46c | 1,008$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.97 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 778$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.12 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 45c | 688.95$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 566.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.18 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 47c | 248.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 54c | 230.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 45c | 223.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Under | 44c | 218.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.62 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 55c | 205.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 45c | 200.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 54c | 175$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 45c | 171.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 55c | 169.8$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 146.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 128.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Over | 54c | 125.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Over | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 46c | 101.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 45c | 99.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 55c | 92.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked Under | 32c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Over | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 54c | 72.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 64.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 61.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 54c | 61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…32c6backed Over | 54c | 54.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -9.8wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Austin FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Austin FC (-2.5)Los Angeles FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)Austin FC won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)Austin FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.