Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d654ed7b79c9777f406076a11debb79fae229760eae9e33556338246650d5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 1,212$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.37 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 37c | 1,121$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.98 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 64c | 1,034$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.74 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 26c | 884.59$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.95 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 47c | 816.21$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.79 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 77c | 792.78$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…1adfbacked No | 60c | 761.77$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.81 | 312 | 62.5%195 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed Yes | 28c | 696.16$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.16 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 8c | 691.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.29 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 10c | 665.49$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.17 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 50c | 633.19$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.28 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 45c | 626.27$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.75 | 601 | 21%126 W · 475 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed Yes | 73c | 622.01$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 14c | 606.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.79 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked Yes | 61c | 554.37$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.27 | 112 | 27.7%31 W · 81 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 64c | 482.46$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.03 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed Yes | 32c | 476.69$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.95 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 36c | 414.24$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.24 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 13c | 414.14$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.14 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 8c | 402.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.69 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 75c | 396.25$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.47 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked No | 6c | 361.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…11e0backed No | 72c | 355.19$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.88 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed Yes | 28c | 354.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.14 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 53c | 346.19$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 79c | 343$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.7 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 61c | 342.04$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.44 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 341$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.32 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 28c | 315$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.97 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 11c | 306.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.44 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 10c | 300.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.14 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 32c | 281.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.26 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 278$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.75 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked No | 73c | 272.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.13 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 70c | 272.32$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.66 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 74c | 271.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.18 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 32c | 263.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 24c | 248$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…017ebacked Yes | 79c | 233.54$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…f7ffbacked Yes | 8c | 229.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.22 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 67c | 224.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 219.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.67 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 195.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 45c | 187$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 29c | 186.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.82 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 180.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 32c | 170$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.63 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…717ebacked Yes | 66c | 163.88$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 8c | 163.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.73 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 51c | 158$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0675…1ec0backed Yes | 11c | 151.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc6…43f0backed No | 66c | 150.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…7e58backed No | 59c | 141.2$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…7b12backed No | 59c | 140.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…e1c7backed Yes | 10c | 134.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 29cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 79c | 134.4$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 15c | 130$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 128$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 65c | 127.58$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 70c | 127.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…c389backed Yes | 57c | 126.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.19 | 38 | 86.8%33 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…0654backed Yes | 62c | 126.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 53c | 125.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 11c | 124.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…7104backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6345…c77dbacked Yes | 12c | 118.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 31c | 118.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 68c | 117.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 142 | 22.5%32 W · 110 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 64c | 110.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 37c | 108.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd4…ea0ebacked No | 53c | 105.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 438 | 59.6%261 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 19c | 104.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 79c | 101.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ac…2c3ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…a6e2backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 47c | 97.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 76c | 96.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.09 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 28c | 96.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed No | 78c | 88.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.57 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xed30…87b1backed No | 22c | 78.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 36c | 76.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x923f…6c4abacked No | 20c | 73.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 21c | 71.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 63c | 69.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…69d0backed Yes | 38c | 67.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 33c | 67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes | 77c | 65.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 36c | 64.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 22c | 63.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…dc56backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 67c | 59.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…0bfbbacked Yes | 26c | 57.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 75c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 7?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 7?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.