Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6f49243b0d6e4a3189577fa7011b3ffd9cd71a27e3dbd8877f4365cd311c00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 7,584$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.5 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 4,941$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.69 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Over | 78c | 3,047$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 2,815$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.36 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 36c | 2,638$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 33c | 2,610$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 58c | 751.93$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.61 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 69c | 654.54$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 557.46$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 35c | 514.32$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.48 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Under | 56c | 488.13$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 23c | 363.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 77c | 350$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 59c | 332.29$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 331.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.87 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.74 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 77c | 291.83$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.55 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 276$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.66 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 52c | 275.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 53c | 241.51$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…94ccbacked Over | 36c | 219$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 214.66$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 214.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 48c | 208.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.54 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +8.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 42c | 149.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 12c | 139.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under | 26c | 132.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +277.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 79c | 130.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.59 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 73c | 111.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked Under | 26c | 108.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +176.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 96.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 52c | 96.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…3f3fbacked Over | 61c | 80.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 31c | 78.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Over | 75c | 71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 68c | 68.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7666…a0e6backed Under | 20c | 58.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 72c | 50.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Over | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 51c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Under | 32c | 37.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 38c | 36.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 61c | 31.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 59c | 30.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 63c | 28.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 48c | 23.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…1826backed Over | 53c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…4a97backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Under | 75c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 0.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.