Serie A · resolved market
Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x893f5b50cbb289e9fb3c8bbf2ffe5eb628152cacd97dafca9883964b08cc7d44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 5,161$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.76 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 1,496$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.97 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 58c | 1,206$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 41c | 907.3$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.31 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 871.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 42c | 859.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.8 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 22c | 856.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 42c | 829.98$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Over | 60c | 767$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 76c | 627.84$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.68 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 35c | 600$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.45 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 565$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Over | 37c | 497.59$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 450$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 421.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 75c | 313.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 309.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.62 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 64c | 232.7$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Under | 44c | 147.73$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 69c | 134.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Over | 39c | 125.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 59c | 122.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 41c | 119.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Under | 43c | 111.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 30c | 92.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 42c | 89.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 52c | 74.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…1184backed Under | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 27c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 57c | 68.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 58c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 28c | 63.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 79c | 63.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…064bbacked Under | 44c | 57.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 58c | 48.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 35c | 46.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed Under | 66c | 45.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 57c | 43.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7666…a0e6backed Over | 59c | 41.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 66c | 40.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…29b9backed Under | 79c | 34.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 71c | 34.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 65c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Over | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 75c | 28.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 48c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8684…bfaabacked Under | 41c | 24.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Over | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 59c | 19.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 62c | 18.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 75c | 15.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5this page
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 0.5Over won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
- Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.