TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,290

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,862 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…57b8backed Yes38c1,672$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.873221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c1,261$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.1749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8963…c780backed No9c1,200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick10cpaid+603.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed No9c1,200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092944.4%4 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick9cpaid+324.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No56c1,064$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.8412357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes44c977.34$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0340447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked No9c646.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.69812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+42.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No58c602.78$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.428548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes18c555$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.97945.6%36 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked No57c541$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.6311349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes43c536$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.4830828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No78c520.59$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0939740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No57c451.31$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No38c449.8$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.944942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No60c309.44$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.5291043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes28c299.78$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.849627.1%26 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes13c299$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8729862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes16c203.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.966950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Yes62c176.38$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.861181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed No13c160$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+108.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked No13c160$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.63030%9 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+110%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed No21c134.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.152123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+79%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd1…2bbdbacked Yes18c126.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Yes44c112.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c109.33$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4442347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c100.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1539354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Yes16c99.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+90.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8239…3f3fbacked Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed No22c91.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.671040%4 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+141.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No34c64.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.863417.6%6 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c56.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No65c53.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.846349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c53.7$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6318951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No56c45.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2036456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde51…f222backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes27c37.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.249561.1%58 W · 37 L+14.4wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No71c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.964940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.