Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b521a50f9e5e228373a029d42fbf2979005c10d91c96ef5e065a9de24634a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 49c | 1,259$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.41 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 38c | 900$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 57c | 900$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.15 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 55c | 804.8$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.73 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 67c | 561.03$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.89 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Under | 44c | 506.3$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…3fbabacked Over | 57c | 469.28$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 62c | 403.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 52c | 299$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 44c | 270.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 62c | 227$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 210.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 37c | 201.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 70c | 129.19$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 116.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba78…273ebacked Over | 56c | 102.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 97.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 37c | 82.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 59c | 67.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 65c | 58.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 58.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 65c | 57.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 55.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 62c | 43.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 37.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 63c | 37.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Under | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 62c | 26.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 58c | 26.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Over | 48c | 25.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 23.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 57c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 54c | 19.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-2.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.