Tennis · resolved market
Cagliari: Stefano Travaglia vs Jesper de Jong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed98ac0ada3ad17d17146479431b1774bc0111b601109af714d608817b98fac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jesper de Jongof Stefano Travaglia, Jesper de Jong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefano Travaglia | 47c | 2,555$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.27 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jesper de Jong | 51c | 2,063$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.91 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Stefano Travaglia | 41c | 2,010$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.2 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Stefano Travaglia | 40c | 1,136$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.26 | 4,277 | 45%1,925 W · 2,352 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Stefano Travaglia | 63c | 1,033$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.5 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Jesper de Jong | 62c | 1,014$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.38 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Jesper de Jong | 62c | 945.68$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 271 | 54.2%147 W · 124 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Jesper de Jong | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked Jesper de Jong | 63c | 785.87$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Jesper de Jong | 48c | 747.71$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.81 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Stefano Travaglia | 38c | 702.26$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.86 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Stefano Travaglia | 56c | 701.74$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.13 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -9.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Jesper de Jong | 57c | 673.89$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.21 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jesper de Jong | 40c | 587.4$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.11 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Stefano Travaglia | 44c | 552.36$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.31 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Jesper de Jong | 61c | 550.19$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Stefano Travaglia | 39c | 534.41$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.77 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefano Travaglia | 39c | 424.78$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.65 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Stefano Travaglia | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Stefano Travaglia | 48c | 303.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.88 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Stefano Travaglia | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Jesper de Jong | 66c | 297.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 1,032 | 50.1%517 W · 515 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Jesper de Jong | 44c | 284.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.38 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Stefano Travaglia | 56c | 272.07$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.37 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Stefano Travaglia | 46c | 215.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Stefano Travaglia | 43c | 211.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 1,496 | 43.6%652 W · 844 L | -29.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d5…56dcbacked Jesper de Jong | 53c | 201.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…6330backed Stefano Travaglia | 59c | 166.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jesper de Jong | 55c | 161.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Jesper de Jong | 61c | 159.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 127.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Stefano Travaglia | 51c | 126.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 2,153 | 54.1%1,165 W · 988 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Jesper de Jong | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jesper de Jong | 45c | 103.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Stefano Travaglia | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Jesper de Jong | 51c | 95.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jesper de Jong | 36c | 78.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…1911backed Stefano Travaglia | 44c | 76.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Jesper de Jong | 33c | 76.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stefano Travaglia | 34c | 76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Stefano Travaglia | 46c | 74.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jesper de Jong | 62c | 73.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jesper de Jong | 63c | 72.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 1,927 | 55.4%1,068 W · 859 L | -43.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Jesper de Jong | 42c | 69.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2,348 | 46.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L | +54.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Jesper de Jong | 62c | 69.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 978 | 44.6%436 W · 542 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Jesper de Jong | 52c | 64.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Jesper de Jong | 56c | 64.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 2,145 | 56%1,201 W · 944 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Jesper de Jong | 58c | 63.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Jesper de Jong | 60c | 63.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 901 | 64.4%580 W · 321 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…5106backed Stefano Travaglia | 65c | 61.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Jesper de Jong | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Jesper de Jong | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 354 | 61%216 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jesper de Jong | 61c | 50.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Jesper de Jong | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 337 | 47.2%159 W · 178 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Stefano Travaglia | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Stefano Travaglia | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jesper de Jong | 42c | 49.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Jesper de Jong | 54c | 47.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -13.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked Stefano Travaglia | 42c | 45.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…e1b6backed Jesper de Jong | 61c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Stefano Travaglia | 37c | 43.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Jesper de Jong | 46c | 40.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…b939backed Jesper de Jong | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Stefano Travaglia | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jesper de Jong | 46c | 39.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Jesper de Jong | 63c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Stefano Travaglia | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Jesper de Jong | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Stefano Travaglia | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Jesper de Jong | 56c | 30.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Stefano Travaglia | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jesper de Jong | 49c | 24.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Jesper de Jong | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…bbb5backed Stefano Travaglia | 51c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Stefano Travaglia | 64c | 16.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 306 | 72.9%223 W · 83 L | +27.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari: Stefano Travaglia vs Jesper de Jongthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Travaglia vs JongTravaglia won
- Stefano Travaglia vs. Jesper de Jong: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Travaglia vs. Jong: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.