Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO1)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec23321e8c01bbb4a9b74b4cb360aa282d1fdb034b747bb436e44fd2c90cd5f4

Rebuilt 41 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof MOUZ, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Nov 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $89,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,435

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,582 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac0d…b006backed MOUZ	69c	40,226$27,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,537.22	106	61.3%65 W · 41 L	+10.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere	23c	30,584$7,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,127.85	148	40.5%60 W · 88 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Natus Vincere	41c	15,176$6,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,221.73	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere	35c	3,115$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.58	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d6…b2e0backed Natus Vincere	43c	3,100$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.61	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked MOUZ	74c	2,969$2,187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.16	158	52.5%83 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ	75c	2,804$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.64	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed MOUZ	77c	2,300$1,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.37	344	68.9%237 W · 107 L	+26.3wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed MOUZ	64c	2,116$1,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.17	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ	65c	2,017$1,302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$714.51	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere	35c	1,605$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.5	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed MOUZ	65c	1,540$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.25	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed MOUZ	70c	1,302$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.17	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936f…7f75backed Natus Vincere	8c	1,296$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere	35c	1,200$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0050…2eb8backed Natus Vincere	38c	1,057$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere	40c	1,000$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.72	451	39.2%177 W · 274 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed MOUZ	65c	1,000$649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.65	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed MOUZ	61c	989.99$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386.09	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed Natus Vincere	36c	833.25$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.97	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Natus Vincere	37c	817.11$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.89	220	33.6%74 W · 146 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked MOUZ	64c	784.38$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.38	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere	30c	682.05$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.73	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Natus Vincere	19c	670.6$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.24	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked MOUZ	77c	666.72$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.35	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed MOUZ	63c	600$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere	37c	596.78$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.81	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Natus Vincere	29c	565.47$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.31	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-14.1wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere	36c	565.17$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	552	51.6%285 W · 267 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed MOUZ	62c	535.75$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.44	64	60.9%39 W · 25 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed MOUZ	63c	530.9$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.43	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked MOUZ	61c	516.33$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.28	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe08e…1d61backed Natus Vincere	39c	507.06$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	46	78.3%36 W · 10 L	+6.1wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Natus Vincere	37c	499.49$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.84	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-2.8wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked MOUZ	64c	464.29$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.29	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed MOUZ	63c	418.91$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere	13c	313.91$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.68	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed MOUZ	64c	313.72$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.72	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere	39c	312.78$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.5	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Natus Vincere	34c	309.15$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.11	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Natus Vincere	37c	300$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf82c…0f6fbacked Natus Vincere	37c	295.95$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Natus Vincere	38c	270.9$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.64	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed MOUZ	63c	250$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	127	55.1%70 W · 57 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked MOUZ	66c	227.27$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.27	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb787…ad0abacked MOUZ	67c	225.01$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.25	144	46.5%67 W · 77 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ	62c	170.9$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.94	341	54.5%186 W · 155 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ	69c	169.33$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.73	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…9ea9backed MOUZ	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ	62c	131.42$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.94	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed MOUZ	64c	125$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb80d…0ac1backed Natus Vincere	39c	125$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere	37c	119.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.4	779	41.1%320 W · 459 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked MOUZ	66c	112.37$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.51	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ	61c	109.81$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.28	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ	65c	107.69$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.69	412	48.8%201 W · 211 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ	61c	106.33$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.47	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere	18c	102.49$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	616	9.7%60 W · 556 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed MOUZ	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	198	56.1%111 W · 87 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa17…3aa2backed MOUZ	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	85	57.6%49 W · 36 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Natus Vincere	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-40%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked MOUZ	65c	88.25$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.32	203	39.9%81 W · 122 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ	69c	82.12$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.19	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d16…12d0backed MOUZ	62c	80.65$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.65	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b00…7cbbbacked Natus Vincere	35c	79.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.3	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed MOUZ	65c	69.23$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.23	111	57.7%64 W · 47 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere	39c	66.8$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.91	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed MOUZ	65c	61.64$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.55	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Natus Vincere	36c	60$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	282	44%124 W · 158 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e1…802abacked Natus Vincere	22c	59.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x220b…881abacked Natus Vincere	40c	56.85$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.74	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed MOUZ	62c	50.2$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.16	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-9.8wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere	33c	50$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	364	42.3%154 W · 210 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9718…dd82backed Natus Vincere	41c	49.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	86	36%31 W · 55 L	-7.7wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ	65c	46.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	737	43.6%321 W · 416 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f42…5b96backed MOUZ	71c	40.84$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.94	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	72cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere	37c	40.01$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	628	41.1%258 W · 370 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed MOUZ	64c	39.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	58	74.1%43 W · 15 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	65cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Natus Vincere	36c	37.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c20…e02dbacked MOUZ	61c	37.21$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.51	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ad…79a8backed MOUZ	65c	36.92$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.92	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere	35c	33.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed Natus Vincere	45c	33.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked MOUZ	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	96	61.5%59 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd47f…41f9backed MOUZ	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9a…28cebacked MOUZ	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfca3…9daabacked Natus Vincere	39c	30.7$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked MOUZ	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	83	61.4%51 W · 32 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b36…9f34backed Natus Vincere	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…7ee3backed Natus Vincere	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x015b…dd19backed MOUZ	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d46…1848backed MOUZ	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+74.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed MOUZ	63c	26.02$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.52	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0a…88b5backed MOUZ	79c	25.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.45	8	100%8 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked MOUZ	65c	24.57$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.54	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked MOUZ	63c	24.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.11	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8b…e99fbacked MOUZ	61c	22$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.58	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5141…9addbacked MOUZ	64c	19.52$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+56.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked MOUZ	80c	15.19$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.04	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-4.9wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO1)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market