Europa Conference League · resolved market
Lille OSC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0918b2f8ace8fc46fb87cef49a5d5e8865f4f7111d3b3819bebbd1f08adaa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 5,884$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.92 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 3,376$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.8 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 61c | 3,333$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 59c | 1,437$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 31c | 634.83$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over | 60c | 500$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Over | 60c | 468.01$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…5840backed Over | 59c | 452.19$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 40c | 443.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Over | 59c | 404.47$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Over | 59c | 337.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…4ed5backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 40c | 245.46$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 40c | 196.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 60c | 167.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Over | 61c | 165.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 41c | 129.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 102.36$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Over | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 59c | 91.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 60c | 40.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2532…5b32backed Over | 60c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…6b19backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 56c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Under | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 40c | 26.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille OSC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5this page
- Lille OSC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Lille OSC (-1.5)Lille OSC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.