Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Tearlaments (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28b64dbb9edad8b16914b4f3d108b18967f44353a36654913639f4694f5fa09e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Tearlaments
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Tearlaments | 29c | 5,028$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.94 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Tearlaments | 25c | 4,876$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.31 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Tearlaments | 30c | 4,115$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.66 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tearlaments | 50c | 3,895$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.64 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527e…5fe4backed Tearlaments | 1c | 2,605$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,556$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.36 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Tearlaments | 21c | 2,466$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.79 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…8f14backed Tearlaments | 4c | 2,296$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 2,000$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 1,519$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Tearlaments | 22c | 1,494$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.7 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,373$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.34 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…c33ebacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 1,278$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 1,221$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.14 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Tearlaments | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.52 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tearlaments | 24c | 1,167$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 1,016$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Tearlaments | 10c | 968.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 959.38$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.38 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Tearlaments | 28c | 942.6$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 940.96$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.36 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 897$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Tearlaments | 25c | 810.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.14 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Tearlaments | 39c | 803.56$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.92 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Tearlaments | 16c | 780.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.03 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Tearlaments | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 676$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tearlaments | 30c | 675.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Tearlaments | 35c | 671.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…933fbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 641.24$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 624.48$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.48 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…6866backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 612.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…de25backed Tearlaments | 23c | 570.73$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 565.77$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 544.57$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…aa13backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 524.97$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.86 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 511.22$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Tearlaments | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Tearlaments | 22c | 499.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Tearlaments | 20c | 476.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Tearlaments | 30c | 475$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 473.49$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.07 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Tearlaments | 23c | 460.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 460$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 460$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…d8b5backed Tearlaments | 9c | 449.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Tearlaments | 23c | 400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…092ebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 395.51$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 385.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Tearlaments | 24c | 335.25$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Tearlaments | 29c | 335$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 322.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 318.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Tearlaments | 17c | 310.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 301.28$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Tearlaments | 27c | 300.59$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 300$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…93afbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 288.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 278.69$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 275.89$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tearlaments | 22c | 267.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed Natus Vincere | 76c | 264$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 261.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…8d0ebacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 251.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tearlaments | 24c | 250.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 220.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tearlaments | 31c | 219.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tearlaments | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Tearlaments | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Tearlaments | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb10…b134backed Tearlaments | 20c | 198.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Tearlaments | 13c | 190$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Tearlaments | 20c | 180$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tearlaments | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 175.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.74 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tearlaments | 23c | 153.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 150.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tearlaments | 23c | 131.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…f798backed Tearlaments | 17c | 125.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Tearlaments | 20c | 122.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408a…6b19backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 121.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Tearlaments | 27c | 120.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Tearlaments | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 117.59$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +6.5wins | +0.24per pick | 69cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…6960backed Tearlaments | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Tearlaments | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…449fbacked Tearlaments | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Tearlaments | 20c | 77.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Tearlaments | 26c | 77.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Tearlaments | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.