Champions League · resolved market
Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ea014b83ff8a8de10f60a1d263a242ba5c59818a3d84167a91beec0bac0a9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 5,879$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.56 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.99 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…7f1cbacked No | 43c | 3,200$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 14c | 2,841$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.59 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 2,349$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.01 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 72c | 1,381$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 39c | 1,342$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.82 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 78c | 862.06$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.52 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 506$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.32 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 21c | 494.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…61ffbacked Yes | 61c | 491.56$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 23c | 491.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 12c | 425.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 33c | 351$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x166c…bf05backed Yes | 28c | 310$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 78c | 275$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 29c | 265$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 31c | 245.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.16 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 43c | 232.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…2bb3backed No | 72c | 218$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 139.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…b9fdbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 70c | 103.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes | 60c | 98.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…5721backed No | 72c | 92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 16c | 83.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…5c15backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1170…8398backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 20c | 65.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2e…6200backed No | 19c | 60.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 71c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…d2e9backed No | 72c | 43.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 71c | 41.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…1233backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 51c | 29.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…ff9dbacked No | 44c | 23.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 48cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…dd6bbacked No | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 76cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 66c | 18.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 17.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 72c | 15.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2025-11-25?No won
- Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.