Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d9af97ce879d2172aa57d1ccab58ad1d8cd76a9af32ce3feb216878b1fd22b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 42c | 36,728$15,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,495.9 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 58c | 35,000$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 58c | 19,949$11,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,378.53 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 42c | 10,264$4,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.7 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 42c | 7,819$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.77 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 6,314$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.14 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 2,159$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.4 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 901.98$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.09 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 823$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 49c | 718$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.82 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 55c | 524.29$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 503.82$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.68 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 50c | 472$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 467.9$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 54c | 429.3$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.48 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 46c | 391.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 46c | 300.77$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 43c | 242.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 52c | 201$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 57c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed No | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 51c | 198.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 142.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Yes | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 42c | 128$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 122.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 44c | 111$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes | 53c | 98.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 52c | 92.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 55c | 77.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…1521backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 45c | 27.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 52c | 22.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…c537backed Yes | 47c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…81d1backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…70ddbacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-11-25?No won
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.