Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-12-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0fb5fba1b644794c6d3cab9885475171e754f581e68e34b6abc09eaa0c725c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 7c | 4,435$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.12 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 1,790$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.06 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…20c0backed Yes | 65c | 1,738$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 48c | 1,046$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 1,029$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.15 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 24c | 984.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.13 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 15c | 889.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 11c | 800$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 66c | 633.39$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.35 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 75c | 458$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 454$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.5 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 332.65$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 12c | 163.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 19c | 162.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Yes | 27c | 133.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 128.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Yes | 32c | 125.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 30c | 95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3a…255ebacked Yes | 79c | 79.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…7641backed Yes | 79c | 47.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked No | 47c | 42.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked No | 74c | 33.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c9…ded6backed Yes | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 19.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2025-12-12?this page
- Will SG Dynamo Dresden vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?No won
- Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2025-12-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.