Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Roar Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dfbc35c6b92c49236a488fefa22be66766000e7478cbce58962bc5d138be3e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakult Brothersof Yakult Brothers, Roar Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 11,061$7,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760.88 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Roar Gaming | 29c | 6,210$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.83 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Roar Gaming | 29c | 4,380$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.98 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Roar Gaming | 34c | 2,587$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.56 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Roar Gaming | 11c | 2,345$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.73 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 1,995$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.21 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Roar Gaming | 33c | 1,729$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.09 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Roar Gaming | 3c | 1,094$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Yakult Brothers | 80c | 876.65$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Yakult Brothers | 66c | 625$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.75 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Roar Gaming | 21c | 498.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yakult Brothers | 50c | 437.5$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…8c08backed Roar Gaming | 50c | 377.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 304.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9d…4ad7backed Roar Gaming | 34c | 293.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Yakult Brothers | 67c | 289.58$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakult Brothers | 76c | 284.64$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…63bcbacked Roar Gaming | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Roar Gaming | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Roar Gaming | 42c | 168.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yakult Brothers | 68c | 139.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Yakult Brothers | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Yakult Brothers | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…d860backed Roar Gaming | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…e79bbacked Roar Gaming | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 56.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Yakult Brothers | 68c | 51.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Roar Gaming | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Roar Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Roar Gaming | 30c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Roar Gaming | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Roar Gaming | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Yakult Brothers | 80c | 31.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…3239backed Roar Gaming | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Roar Gaming (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Roar Gaming - Game 1 WinnerYakult Brothers won
- Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Roar Gaming - Game 2 WinnerRoar Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.