Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fcce710282e1b2992f182810f814c05af049740c08be23376d81cf9bc8d14ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,450 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 43c | 14,323$6,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158.95 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 1,363$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.32 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 48c | 719.42$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 52c | 711.6$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.42 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 419.89$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 155.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 55c | 142.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 58c | 131.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 52c | 128.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 45c | 123.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 122.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked No | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked No | 45c | 113.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec33…97f1backed Yes | 57c | 43.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7f…c070backed Yes | 58c | 41.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425c…d8dabacked No | 44c | 41.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…6d58backed Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…e1ebbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 43c | 34.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…a221backed No | 43c | 33.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 56c | 32.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…1a0abacked No | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c00…ec1fbacked Yes | 58c | 30.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Yes | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 44c | 23.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 54c | 21.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d7…4b1dbacked Yes | 58c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-11-26?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.