Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9baec5cf13febab5d40b6c3051d2feb62d5ec3efe3f1050a434195c5e91c55d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 3,939$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 3,478$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.58 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 4c | 2,129$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 72c | 1,186$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.61 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b6…38fbbacked No | 67c | 895.83$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 14c | 370.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.18 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 333.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.59 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 237.74$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 33c | 220.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Yes | 34c | 147.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 33c | 129$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 34c | 73.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 65c | 70.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed No | 63c | 59.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 58.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 58.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 63c | 33.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…730abacked No | 63c | 31.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 80c | 13.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will NK Celje win on 2025-11-27?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. NK Celje end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.