Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will NK Celje win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x529da7278aa1729a3a1ba2722b2d9a90c823a5106c7ca6ff6b7f7e04cb5acd6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 809.04$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.05 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 483.88$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…2ba7backed Yes | 41c | 424.93$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 290.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 41c | 290$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 244.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…b0fabacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 89.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 73.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccf…b312backed Yes | 41c | 73.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…b812backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…1477backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b5…4d41backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 36c | 34.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 59c | 24.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 61c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NK Celje win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. NK Celje end in a draw?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.