NHL · resolved market
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335772482ad7aee4e8fa6588d2fe81ceba17f60b56c8d98787c702e7ac3d5a6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Rangers, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Rangers | 5c | 3,215$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Rangers | 35c | 868.57$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Blues | 67c | 741.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rangers | 35c | 639$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.53 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…4386backed Rangers | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…0f44backed Rangers | 34c | 483.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 65c | 463$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.05 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues | 65c | 415$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.25 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 28c | 202.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Rangers | 72c | 202.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Blues | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Blues | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d9…437fbacked Rangers | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Blues | 66c | 111$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Blues | 65c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Blues | 65c | 58.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rangers | 34c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06a…5ae7backed Blues | 69c | 49.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Rangers | 31c | 48.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fd…b1e4backed Blues | 69c | 44.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…367fbacked Blues | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7765…f23fbacked Blues | 69c | 37.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…1dc7backed Blues | 69c | 36.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blues | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…8375backed Blues | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…3e45backed Blues | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blues | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…a758backed Blues | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. RangersRangers won
- Blues vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.