Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Execration (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c1d2585703863ca231d34fe746f686ad62b117302913a8feb49ac60beb6332e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Yakult Brothers, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Yakult Brothers | 2c | 6,180$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Execration | 45c | 3,948$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.33 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…092ebacked Yakult Brothers | 1c | 2,454$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 2,363$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Execration | 48c | 2,110$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Execration | 48c | 2,078$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 2,075$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.5 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Execration | 40c | 1,750$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.47 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yakult Brothers | 58c | 1,240$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.93 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Execration | 43c | 1,199$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.27 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 1,065$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Execration | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yakult Brothers | 52c | 951.92$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yakult Brothers | 49c | 881.21$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde9…51d7backed Yakult Brothers | 57c | 877.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…916bbacked Yakult Brothers | 6c | 800$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Yakult Brothers | 51c | 788.46$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.12 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 738.26$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.11 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Execration | 40c | 642.21$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.21 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…3984backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 587$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Execration | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Execration | 43c | 522.3$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.58 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Execration | 49c | 490$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yakult Brothers | 62c | 486.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yakult Brothers | 48c | 369.45$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.38 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 354.25$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed Execration | 57c | 346.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Execration | 50c | 346.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 325$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.83 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Execration | 48c | 310.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.1 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960f…46cfbacked Yakult Brothers | 66c | 304.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Execration | 50c | 301.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 299.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 299.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 294.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yakult Brothers | 50c | 286.74$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 269.96$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Execration | 34c | 263.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Execration | 47c | 240.4$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Execration | 34c | 232.36$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Execration | 59c | 231.97$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ce…2972backed Yakult Brothers | 70c | 223.35$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Execration | 45c | 215.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…3263backed Execration | 49c | 202.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.66 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Execration | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…6de6backed Execration | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765e…9cefbacked Execration | 27c | 195.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Execration | 66c | 192.68$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Execration | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…aa13backed Execration | 63c | 190.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Yakult Brothers | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Yakult Brothers | 13c | 148.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…e78fbacked Yakult Brothers | 52c | 135$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…3c5fbacked Yakult Brothers | 56c | 126.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Execration | 41c | 118$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.24 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Execration | 49c | 101.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Execration | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Execration | 43c | 99.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…ca43backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 96.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af5…d29cbacked Yakult Brothers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 89.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 83.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Execration | 58c | 82.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Execration | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Yakult Brothers | 60c | 78.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yakult Brothers | 64c | 78.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Execration | 44c | 74.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Execration | 53c | 73.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Yakult Brothers | 59c | 68.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yakult Brothers | 60c | 59.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Yakult Brothers | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Yakult Brothers | 54c | 54.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…b5dabacked Execration | 52c | 48.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…300cbacked Yakult Brothers | 51c | 44.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Execration | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Execration | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c2d3backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfb…86bebacked Yakult Brothers | 55c | 36.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…f64ebacked Execration | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Yakult Brothers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Yakult Brothers | 65c | 26.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Execration | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Execration | 46c | 23.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.