NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x002b8635dd898a562fbf907aa81f6da78bfb586a4a6dbd08547df6cea7045500
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $342,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hornets | 10c | 37,889$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,682.99 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hornets | 14c | 22,222$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.08 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 15c | 15,050$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.48 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hornets | 14c | 13,502$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.35 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hornets | 15c | 10,763$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.73 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e04…991cbacked Hornets | 15c | 7,167$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Hornets | 5c | 5,837$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.83 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 8c | 5,129$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Hornets | 16c | 3,892$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.67 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 0c | 3,687$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Hornets | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…7097backed Hornets | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Hornets | 14c | 2,950$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hornets | 14c | 2,469$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 7c | 2,111$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 1c | 2,040$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed Hornets | 9c | 2,016$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.45 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Hornets | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 1c | 1,976$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets | 12c | 1,957$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.84 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hornets | 18c | 1,750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Hornets | 5c | 1,740$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hornets | 15c | 1,694$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hornets | 8c | 1,550$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb670…ae89backed Hornets | 4c | 1,500$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Hornets | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 13c | 1,372$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.57 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…91b2backed Hornets | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf777…34a5backed Hornets | 1c | 1,122$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Hornets | 14c | 1,100$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hornets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Hornets | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hornets | 12c | 999.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Hornets | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hornets | 16c | 980$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…eadabacked Hornets | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hornets | 12c | 889.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…9b82backed Hornets | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Hornets | 16c | 782.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.37 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hornets | 16c | 705$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Hornets | 14c | 693.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 8c | 692.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Hornets | 14c | 690$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…408cbacked Hornets | 9c | 677$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Hornets | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9326…d416backed Hornets | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…1674backed Hornets | 16c | 611.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets | 11c | 605$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…380fbacked Hornets | 14c | 592.86$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Hornets | 13c | 589$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hornets | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…4634backed Hornets | 15c | 538.32$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…4bd9backed Hornets | 15c | 515$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…464ebacked Hornets | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hornets | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x774e…4665backed Hornets | 14c | 485.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…fd3fbacked Hornets | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hornets | 12c | 429$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Hornets | 13c | 399.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…7631backed Hornets | 15c | 369.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hornets | 11c | 357.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…65b8backed Hornets | 15c | 349.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hornets | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Hornets | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207e…3499backed Hornets | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Hornets | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Hornets | 10c | 290.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Hornets | 12c | 286$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…6dbfbacked Hornets | 16c | 283.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2046…0e2cbacked Hornets | 16c | 281.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…fbe1backed Hornets | 16c | 268.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…74b4backed Hornets | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Hornets | 12c | 258$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…07b0backed Hornets | 14c | 257.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac37…b425backed Hornets | 16c | 231.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Hornets | 15c | 230$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Hornets | 15c | 215.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hornets | 15c | 214.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Hornets | 15c | 207.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Hornets | 10c | 207.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Hornets | 15c | 203.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…646dbacked Hornets | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…4d7ebacked Hornets | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Hornets | 16c | 182.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Hornets | 15c | 177.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…9682backed Hornets | 16c | 170.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Hornets | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…ae03backed Hornets | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…0720backed Hornets | 16c | 158.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…94bcbacked Hornets | 11c | 155$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…7b55backed Hornets | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed Hornets | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Hornets | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Hornets | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Hornets | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Hornets | 14c | 138.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…1d32backed Hornets | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Hornets | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.