Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Braga beat Lazio?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e1f9a4b8576c569f4d2c1889f2c53800f2098a19dc46f8ea16b20b7362233df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 50c | 304.3$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 39c | 199.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 38c | 175$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 59c | 130.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 60c | 108.38$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…f5dcbacked No | 45c | 42.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ed…e793backed No | 57c | 40.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…19e6backed No | 46c | 40.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d0…ef5ebacked No | 57c | 40.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…63afbacked Yes | 43c | 40.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…eb0cbacked No | 57c | 39.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x181b…15e8backed Yes | 43c | 39.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9d…dbdebacked Yes | 46c | 38.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379b…7bb2backed No | 54c | 38.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…e89fbacked No | 52c | 35.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…bababacked Yes | 48c | 35.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…8bf6backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…8e9bbacked No | 59c | 34.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…fd5ebacked Yes | 46c | 32.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…50f3backed Yes | 46c | 32.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…4d3fbacked No | 54c | 32.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 42c | 32.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…bb3dbacked Yes | 43c | 32.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…2dbabacked No | 57c | 32.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f01…7985backed No | 54c | 31.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7be…b408backed No | 58c | 31.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ba…943fbacked No | 45c | 31.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…ed17backed Yes | 55c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0530…73cdbacked Yes | 55c | 30.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9f…1c40backed Yes | 54c | 29.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…6fcdbacked Yes | 78c | 28.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…7964backed Yes | 43c | 26.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365a…ad6bbacked Yes | 43c | 26.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…d930backed No | 57c | 26.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067b…2368backed Yes | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…0bd9backed Yes | 42c | 25.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…d0efbacked No | 58c | 25.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…db3fbacked Yes | 42c | 24.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…9d8bbacked No | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…0d3abacked Yes | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…efd9backed No | 44c | 22.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 20.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…9cafbacked No | 56c | 20.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…45bbbacked No | 58c | 19.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd2…e326backed Yes | 57c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Braga beat Lazio?this page
- Will Lazio beat Braga?No won
- Will the match between Braga and Lazio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.