Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Lazio beat Braga?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed04af3b15798ae17157811e2db49721d37e5d78f28858e03a4eae30a542cb87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 78c | 4,241$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.39 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8240…cbfabacked Yes | 17c | 2,862$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 26c | 852.07$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 33c | 597.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 72c | 250.46$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 34c | 200.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 64c | 180.56$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 76c | 78.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 66c | 72.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f9…004dbacked Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc4…9e48backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…6d30backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4665…a900backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…8437backed Yes | 21c | 53.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 32c | 42.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 79c | 39.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…20f1backed Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 26.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazio beat Braga?this page
- Will Braga beat Lazio?Yes won
- Will the match between Braga and Lazio end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.