NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Nuggets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7df9fd92d8fc28ef5a91c1bbd017ac99ae0e8add9251f9e05f65ef6968e1a9f5

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Knicksof Knicks, Nuggets
Resolved: Nov 26, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $118,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $122,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,158 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Knicks	68c	19,482$13,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,226.55	150	56.7%85 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Nuggets	1c	15,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	183	16.9%31 W · 152 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks	50c	9,485$4,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,705.2	656	42.5%279 W · 377 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets	37c	9,369$3,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,461.31	304	43.1%131 W · 173 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets	34c	5,125$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,742.35	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Nuggets	9c	4,900$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454	238	35.7%85 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Knicks	39c	4,009$1,564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,445.98	337	52.5%177 W · 160 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Nuggets	61c	3,470$2,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,114.69	196	42.9%84 W · 112 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Nuggets	59c	2,440$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.58	85	61.2%52 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b1e…cee2backed Nuggets	57c	2,085$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.17	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Nuggets	11c	2,058$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.98	236	46.6%110 W · 126 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks	39c	2,050$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,250.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Nuggets	13c	2,044$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.57	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Nuggets	14c	1,802$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.2	184	37.5%69 W · 115 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…8d13backed Nuggets	20c	1,690$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+29%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f7…91e3backed Nuggets	44c	1,500$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Nuggets	61c	1,500$915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915	379	54.1%205 W · 174 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Nuggets	3c	1,447$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.17	216	5.6%12 W · 204 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-61%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d4c…ff37backed Nuggets	65c	1,323$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.84	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…5038backed Nuggets	6c	1,211$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.8	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Nuggets	30c	1,178$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.2	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Nuggets	17c	1,170$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.89	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Nuggets	62c	1,151$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.5	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-5.7wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nuggets	55c	1,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Nuggets	1c	999.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Nuggets	61c	999.98$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.99	80	43.8%35 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Knicks	38c	999.87$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.92	291	48.8%142 W · 149 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Knicks	40c	987.39$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.6	172	44.2%76 W · 96 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Nuggets	21c	954.73$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	48	37.5%18 W · 30 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa98c…acb2backed Nuggets	12c	875.59$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.52	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	23cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Knicks	60c	813.72$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325.49	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28a…6bdcbacked Nuggets	5c	803.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Knicks	35c	801.89$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.23	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Knicks	61c	597.89$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.61	290	43.8%127 W · 163 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets	36c	552.71$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.73	615	32.2%198 W · 417 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets	6c	548.43$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.08	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Nuggets	38c	526.32$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8a…681abacked Knicks	55c	507.4$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.33	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf33…4eacbacked Nuggets	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Nuggets	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	89	37.1%33 W · 56 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Nuggets	11c	478.64$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.29	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Knicks	43c	462.2$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.2	54	38.9%21 W · 33 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Nuggets	62c	427.42$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Knicks	77c	418.43$322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.24	259	39%101 W · 158 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Knicks	39c	418.39$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.22	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	+18.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7a8…dab3backed Nuggets	21c	404.76$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-77%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Nuggets	38c	401.74$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.73	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Knicks	40c	400$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	235	48.1%113 W · 122 L	-13.9wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked Knicks	77c	400$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	174	64.9%113 W · 61 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Nuggets	17c	344.44$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	56	17.9%10 W · 46 L	-5.1wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Nuggets	31c	323.91$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.9	277	35.4%98 W · 179 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e4…7914backed Nuggets	25c	303$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.75	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Knicks	44c	300$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.2	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x624f…2fa6backed Nuggets	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-27%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa95a…cc43backed Nuggets	62c	300$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Nuggets	34c	291.43$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	378	31.2%118 W · 260 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Knicks	36c	282.15$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.61	723	41.2%298 W · 425 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Nuggets	9c	281.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.71	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Knicks	36c	275.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.19	103	34%35 W · 68 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Knicks	39c	256.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.41	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…8516backed Nuggets	20c	252.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.1	178	34.8%62 W · 116 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Nuggets	14c	250$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	152	34.9%53 W · 99 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Knicks	39c	245.97$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.08	258	51.6%133 W · 125 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b2…2bb9backed Nuggets	62c	242$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.04	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bdd…bbb8backed Nuggets	20c	232.89$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.45	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x992f…03cbbacked Knicks	39c	230.77$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Knicks	40c	217.68$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.68	196	50%98 W · 98 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nuggets	51c	215.69$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	381	32.8%125 W · 256 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Nuggets	17c	201.98$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.11	774	37.5%290 W · 484 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe327…ec05backed Nuggets	36c	200$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Nuggets	10c	190.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks	62c	178.33$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.76	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets	61c	170$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.7	1,166	54.4%634 W · 532 L	+19.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…1b45backed Nuggets	62c	169.98$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.39	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Nuggets	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	101	53.5%54 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Nuggets	61c	163.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-6.5wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-38%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc0a4…ed52backed Nuggets	62c	159.03$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf90e…4ab0backed Knicks	39c	158.97$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.97	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.61per pick	39cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…5419backed Nuggets	64c	157.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	-5.8wins	-0.14per pick	65cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Nuggets	64c	156.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a0…ed74backed Knicks	66c	151.95$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.95	37	73%27 W · 10 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Nuggets	61c	150$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	178	46.1%82 W · 96 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Knicks	36c	145.42$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.07	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x256a…1c70backed Nuggets	14c	140$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	59	39%23 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59d0…47a2backed Nuggets	61c	132.49$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.82	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Nuggets	34c	131.27$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.83	148	52.7%78 W · 70 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Knicks	39c	130.59$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.66	100	51%51 W · 49 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1b9…bc50backed Nuggets	62c	125.77$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.98	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5e…130cbacked Knicks	39c	125.64$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.64	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	47cpaid	+78.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Knicks	73c	121.42$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.37	452	51.1%231 W · 221 L	+20.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d1…6f56backed Nuggets	30c	113.09$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-9.9wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Nuggets	60c	111$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	114	57%65 W · 49 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Nuggets	9c	108.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	357	34.5%123 W · 234 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc284…79e9backed Nuggets	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Knicks	38c	105.26$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.26	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d8c…b5afbacked Knicks	38c	100.13$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.08	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.34per pick	41cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Nuggets	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	309	54%167 W · 142 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Knicks	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	296	35.8%106 W · 190 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Nuggets	61c	100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Knicks vs. Nuggets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market