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MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Blue Jays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Angels, Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$640,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$626,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x343d…456ebacked Blue Jays58c398,488$230,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167,745.283360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Angels42c142,123$59,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,691.76642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Angels42c105,000$44,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,10035854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Angels39c67,449$26,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,448.1515353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc605…d372backed Angels44c49,237$21,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,526.678641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays56c33,753$18,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,851.3760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels42c30,014$12,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,606.021,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Angels42c20,406$8,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,566.5941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels41c19,233$7,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,817.261,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels24c18,838$4,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,581.082,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Angels27c15,690$4,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,291.011,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays60c14,444$8,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,783.1699149.9%495 W · 496 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Angels37c13,490$4,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,930.1497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Angels43c11,915$5,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,171.1938047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Blue Jays58c8,621$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.832065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed Angels21c6,017$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2724459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays60c5,824$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.8124154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Blue Jays61c5,771$3,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.43253.1%17 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels41c5,713$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Blue Jays59c5,460$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.7526847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Angels31c5,107$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.171,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Angels40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Blue Jays57c4,760$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.6216352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…398cbacked Angels42c4,696$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.335429.6%16 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Angels42c3,760$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.791,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays64c3,704$2,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.6918837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays60c2,625$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.8386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2128646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays58c2,406$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.351,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Angels42c2,320$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.2314546.2%67 W · 78 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Blue Jays53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94015745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Angels43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9937446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Blue Jays56c1,650$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.871751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels28c1,625$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.129,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Angels30c1,592$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.6740547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Angels51c1,433$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.5368769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Angels43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e98…0ab2backed Angels30c1,270$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.72060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Angels39c1,140$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.876,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Blue Jays58c1,105$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.3814453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58a4…57d4backed Blue Jays66c1,064$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.884341.9%18 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Angels44c1,059$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.992828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-41.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels44c1,049$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x568b…983abacked Angels2c1,011$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Blue Jays58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42021941.1%90 W · 129 L-19.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Angels40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fec…62f0backed Angels39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Blue Jays58c948.28$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.288360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Blue Jays57c944.1$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.96875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Angels4c902.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.624754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1913151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Angels40c875$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…6137backed Angels44c863.64$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3807238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b4…5c7cbacked Angels49c849.15$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays58c802.71$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.542,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Angels47c800.27$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.1332042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d5…124bbacked Angels39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Blue Jays62c775$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.557753.2%307 W · 270 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Blue Jays61c756.66$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.5913138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Angels5c701.27$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.565053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5293…2f35backed Blue Jays57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Angels31c660.71$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.381,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Blue Jays62c610$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays67c586.85$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Angels2c585.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3712045.8%55 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Blue Jays59c527.75$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.3817754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Blue Jays58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2416157.1%92 W · 69 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c50…b113backed Blue Jays57c516.14$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.941963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1d…2bbebacked Angels44c515.8$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Angels15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7515642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd980…ab44backed Blue Jays55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays64c476.45$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7432852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays58c443$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0695950.1%480 W · 479 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Angels43c437$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays60c388$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.22,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed Blue Jays60c378.62$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels42c370.18$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.481,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Angels6c354$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.348762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Blue Jays59c340.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9124248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…9d63backed Angels47c339.51$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Blue Jays57c327$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.993464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Blue Jays55c326.63$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14851334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Angels54c317.5$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.241,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Angels40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels40c274$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.231,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays70c270$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.81,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534e…ecfebacked Angels43c251.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1327458.8%161 W · 113 L+1.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Angels40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c67…13d1backed Blue Jays57c245.61$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.612657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Blue Jays62c242.06$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.067556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Blue Jays58c241.38$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.385341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays60c240$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels43c231.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe870…6bf8backed Blue Jays58c208.1$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Blue Jays50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.