MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05f5b556590275737f5d76f11fc8e483e0634be69a712e658d3fcd0825f267dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Guardians, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Cubs | 61c | 144,996$88,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,548.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 39c | 79,927$31,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,171.5 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Guardians | 6c | 21,207$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.43 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…9c62backed Cubs | 60c | 19,600$11,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 35c | 11,963$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.24 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 38c | 10,482$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 40c | 8,514$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.53 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cubs | 57c | 8,513$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.28 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Cubs | 61c | 8,210$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 39c | 5,200$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 40c | 5,134$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.6 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Guardians | 39c | 4,652$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.25 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 39c | 4,369$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Guardians | 74c | 4,062$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Guardians | 39c | 2,560$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 59c | 2,472$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.34 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Guardians | 39c | 2,050$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Guardians | 50c | 2,000$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Guardians | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Guardians | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Guardians | 40c | 1,911$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.29 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e879backed Guardians | 40c | 1,861$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…78a9backed Guardians | 41c | 1,750$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cubs | 61c | 1,628$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.65 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 12c | 1,581$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.28 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c3…5654backed Guardians | 41c | 1,550$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…4d41backed Cubs | 59c | 1,243$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cubs | 60c | 1,192$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.7 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…450ebacked Cubs | 59c | 1,051$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc1…6375backed Cubs | 61c | 1,008$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 39c | 897$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Cubs | 60c | 860.85$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.34 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Guardians | 41c | 860.37$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 40c | 743.28$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.88 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Guardians | 41c | 726.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 60c | 667$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Cubs | 46c | 649.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.09 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 10c | 600$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Cubs | 61c | 550$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Cubs | 49c | 530$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 40c | 511$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Guardians | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 59c | 477.97$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.97 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Guardians | 43c | 472.05$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 11c | 422.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Guardians | 14c | 406.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 58c | 379.12$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 39c | 375$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Guardians | 8c | 331.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Guardians | 40c | 305$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guardians | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Guardians | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Guardians | 40c | 247.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Guardians | 40c | 247.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Guardians | 41c | 243.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Cubs | 59c | 242$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Guardians | 15c | 239.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 57c | 217.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 72c | 210.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Guardians | 42c | 204$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Guardians | 40c | 202.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 24c | 195$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Guardians | 19c | 186.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 15c | 186.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddce…6c35backed Cubs | 60c | 154.32$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Cubs | 59c | 151.69$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cubs | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…de34backed Cubs | 67c | 150$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Guardians | 8c | 145.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs | 61c | 143.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 40c | 139.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Cubs | 41c | 125$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 40c | 124.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…74bcbacked Guardians | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…624abacked Guardians | 41c | 120.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Guardians | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Guardians | 36c | 118.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 60c | 108$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Guardians | 40c | 105.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Cubs | 27c | 100.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Guardians | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…fad3backed Guardians | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Guardians | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Guardians | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.