NBA · resolved market
NBA Finals G2: Will Haliburton score 17+ points against the Thunder?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e27cab9122cb54c342f97324abbb2de7cfbac460e7df87b2224f7f8eb0b32b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 54c | 8,101$4,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.09 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 50c | 5,523$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.23 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.95 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 51c | 2,427$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.49 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 53c | 1,416$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…3882backed Yes | 51c | 590.1$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed No | 51c | 554.08$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 49c | 350$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca72…a02abacked Yes | 53c | 252.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…eb96backed No | 53c | 250$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 48c | 179.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Yes | 51c | 160$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 33c | 132.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…5d9abacked Yes | 51c | 124.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 49c | 114.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Yes | 53c | 109.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…495cbacked Yes | 52c | 92.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…d50dbacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed No | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…0a1cbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 51c | 43.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5125…933abacked Yes | 51c | 43.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f12…d41fbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…4bc1backed Yes | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575e…5b86backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…94e9backed Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…968abacked No | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…8211backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d45…9348backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…da90backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.