NBA · resolved market
NBA Finals G7: Will SGA score 33+ points against the Pacers?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3266b12f99e094bd5ee21d94f2e9675ab08ebc03574f88de3d5c9c57ae1f4154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 49c | 10,210$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,257.1 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 52c | 9,678$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,985.59 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 51c | 4,800$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 47c | 580.75$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.41 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 53c | 360$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a2…3d2abacked Yes | 59c | 282.36$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…b5c3backed No | 50c | 277.68$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 70c | 260.08$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 5c | 239.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcaa…c284backed No | 50c | 222.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 56c | 179.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Yes | 55c | 108.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 41c | 88.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 43c | 56.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…1806backed Yes | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 42c | 51.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…94e9backed Yes | 57c | 43.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…35d1backed No | 52c | 26.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +418.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…68e3backed No | 50c | 20.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.