Tennis · resolved market
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e1bb11ba432593703563d2b5136fd84991012576fa9eb7f4d79b325b979b72d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabalenkaof Sabalenka, Anisimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Anisimova | 18c | 2,743$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.77 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Anisimova | 15c | 2,547$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.3 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Anisimova | 16c | 1,938$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.12 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Anisimova | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Anisimova | 19c | 1,595$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Sabalenka | 78c | 1,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Anisimova | 24c | 1,179$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.72 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Anisimova | 16c | 1,066$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…756dbacked Anisimova | 17c | 1,005$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sabalenka | 80c | 676$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Anisimova | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Anisimova | 19c | 425$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Anisimova | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Anisimova | 18c | 273$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…1d6bbacked Anisimova | 15c | 211.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Anisimova | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Anisimova | 18c | 199.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Anisimova | 19c | 159$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Anisimova | 17c | 139.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Anisimova | 18c | 129$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Anisimova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.