WNBA · resolved market
Dream vs Storm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55c39112e5825e88040c5306c05604a516c923c9de594247436edbe954ff07e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Dream, Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Storm | 63c | 14,094$8,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,828.37 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dream | 37c | 8,404$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,294.36 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Dream | 34c | 5,412$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dream | 33c | 5,224$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.03 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Storm | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Dream | 35c | 2,428$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dream | 23c | 1,900$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.99 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Dream | 51c | 1,872$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dream | 28c | 1,859$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.9 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Storm | 67c | 1,852$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.71 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 65c | 1,503$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.15 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dream | 36c | 1,072$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.2 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dream | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dream | 37c | 540$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.6 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 58c | 535.71$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.71 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Storm | 6c | 453.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Storm | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dream | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dream | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Dream | 37c | 170$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Storm | 70c | 142$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c8…e7acbacked Dream | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.9wins | +0.35per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Dream | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dream | 37c | 135$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dream | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Storm | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Dream | 40c | 84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Storm | 24c | 79.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Storm | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dream | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Storm | 33c | 57.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Storm | 62c | 52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Storm | 79c | 34.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Dream | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.