CS2 · resolved market
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: OG vs. NRG
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc38b9ca01b242b335d44918c0bd012d90c43037a118e2392c30aed8f4d45a3e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked OG | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked NRG | 32c | 4,751$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.19 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG | 0c | 4,039$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked NRG | 19c | 3,190$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.57 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed NRG | 34c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed OG | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked OG | 79c | 842.99$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.21 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed OG | 68c | 574.82$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed OG | 79c | 539$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed OG | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed NRG | 18c | 467$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2d…6ae3backed OG | 69c | 307.97$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed NRG | 31c | 199.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked OG | 68c | 155.17$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OG | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked NRG | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…000bbacked NRG | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked OG | 68c | 95.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…038bbacked OG | 79c | 87.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed NRG | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed NRG | 35c | 46.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked NRG | 36c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.