Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47210c3829df405e4e3c04a6877bea2291a4aa2ccf735320f5ca4961ab282b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 44c | 202,676$89,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,174.95 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 56c | 200,000$112,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 4,961$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 52c | 4,337$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.14 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Yes | 44c | 2,224$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 56c | 999.99$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.49 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 49c | 860$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.6 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 840.7$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.47 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 62c | 840$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 56c | 698.01$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 36c | 365$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 56c | 352.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.89 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed No | 55c | 310$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 44c | 289.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.31 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 5c | 259.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 44c | 244.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed No | 64c | 228.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed No | 38c | 202.69$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed No | 58c | 197.76$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 44c | 148.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 43c | 143.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 56c | 133.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked No | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 55c | 117$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 56c | 82.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 56c | 73.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Yes | 37c | 52.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…4c08backed No | 60c | 49.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 42c | 37.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 56c | 34.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…e1fabacked Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 56c | 23.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…33bfbacked No | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked No | 56c | 20.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 56c | 17.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will St Mirren FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
- Will St Mirren FC vs. Falkirk FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.