Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9173f0d33e304bdbd45f1ab6a462cb15e56332683dd04ae00679bf493a2cfa68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes | 53c | 31,092$16,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,533.86 | 144 | 27.1%39 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 4c | 19,848$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.02 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 19c | 9,842$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.98 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 16c | 8,112$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.08 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 74c | 8,065$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.01 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 40c | 6,666$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.6 | 115 | 12.2%14 W · 101 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 40c | 6,650$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.52 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 15c | 5,422$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.84 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 6c | 5,275$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 18c | 4,102$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.8 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 78c | 3,961$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.78 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes | 3c | 3,709$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 13c | 3,694$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.82 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 3,567$2,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.68 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…583ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,382$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 61c | 3,072$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.69 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 2,885$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.53 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 48c | 2,727$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.68 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…2917backed Yes | 23c | 2,696$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.8 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 30c | 2,435$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.03 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 41c | 2,425$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.23 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 21c | 2,363$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.59 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 1c | 2,300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…83d6backed No | 79c | 2,246$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.63 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 2c | 2,246$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes | 33c | 2,170$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.59 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed No | 78c | 1,945$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.73 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 48c | 1,845$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.38 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 34c | 1,750$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.5 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 57c | 1,684$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.87 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 14c | 1,640$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.53 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,600$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.97 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 58c | 1,564$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.25 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 65c | 1,526$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.92 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 3c | 1,469$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,456$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.43 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 34c | 1,449$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.05 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…9917backed Yes | 54c | 1,426$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.12 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 29c | 1,391$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.37 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…ecdfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,355$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 63c | 1,332$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.01 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 61c | 1,307$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.8 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 12c | 1,273$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 42c | 1,265$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.04 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 30c | 1,226$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.18 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,206$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 1,181$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.66 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 22c | 1,155$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.51 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 53c | 1,123$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.56 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 37c | 1,050$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.09 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…0c0dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,002$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe15a…7186backed Yes | 2c | 999.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…8baebacked Yes | 49c | 999.96$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes | 37c | 994.97$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes | 59c | 977.25$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.78 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021f…4ec7backed No | 75c | 960.55$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 76c | 944.27$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 35c | 939.89$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.04 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 72c | 936.48$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.2 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 63c | 847.55$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.45 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 21c | 800$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 80c | 779.66$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 15c | 775.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4355…c5d4backed Yes | 14c | 749.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 61c | 733.59$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 217 | 32.3%70 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 728.79$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.9 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 68c | 721.76$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes | 56c | 718.73$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.81 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 54c | 700$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked No | 41c | 694$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.92 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…65ecbacked No | 40c | 660$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 93 | 17.2%16 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2055…4542backed Yes | 16c | 600.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked No | 62c | 565.66$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.65 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…704abacked Yes | 20c | 546.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 55c | 542.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ce…f82bbacked Yes | 37c | 514.94$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.53 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes | 17c | 511.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 51c | 502.02$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.39 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 348 | 33.3%116 W · 232 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…b351backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 65c | 498.1$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.41 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 70c | 481.55$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.15 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…e4bdbacked Yes | 33c | 474.55$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 43c | 464.77$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.83 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 61c | 456.06$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes | 26c | 429.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 198 | 19.7%39 W · 159 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…c2a0backed No | 69c | 426.55$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.42 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 37c | 418.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 335 | 27.8%93 W · 242 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 71c | 406$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 400$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…9319backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 345 | 15.9%55 W · 290 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 30c | 397.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3b…5ae2backed Yes | 21c | 365.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c5…79d8backed Yes | 56c | 355.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 29c | 348.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 40c | 342.44$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.46 | 109 | 17.4%19 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 56c | 340$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8829…cfcfbacked Yes | 19c | 333.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.