Australian A League · resolved market
Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x030a3fb54c55f48acfc69817bf1d8adee36734c0d83532f6c262dd4928c882aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 642.34$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…62d3backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 80c | 88.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 90 | 65.6%59 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed No | 70c | 71.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…28b4backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 35.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brisbane Roar FC (-1.5)Wellington Phoenix FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.