Tennis · resolved market
Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Sergey Fomin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0a0c4a9b9fb9e5eff3543b2d9deb7a7c2fbd0984637fb14e0778f7deadd4c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sumit Nagalof Sumit Nagal, Sergey Fomin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Sergey Fomin | 39c | 3,754$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.76 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sergey Fomin | 26c | 3,597$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.99 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Sumit Nagal | 76c | 2,922$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.92 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sergey Fomin | 12c | 1,974$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.59 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Sumit Nagal | 78c | 1,281$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.86 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Sergey Fomin | 39c | 1,214$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.56 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sumit Nagal | 69c | 1,111$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.94 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sumit Nagal | 61c | 1,103$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.3 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed Sumit Nagal | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…ea35backed Sumit Nagal | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Sumit Nagal | 61c | 999.99$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.87 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…df4bbacked Sumit Nagal | 61c | 901.62$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.63 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Sumit Nagal | 60c | 878$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.2 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sumit Nagal | 68c | 762.22$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Sergey Fomin | 22c | 527.12$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…7013backed Sumit Nagal | 74c | 511.9$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Sergey Fomin | 39c | 449.87$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.29 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Sumit Nagal | 74c | 372$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Sergey Fomin | 18c | 368.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Sumit Nagal | 62c | 264$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sumit Nagal | 61c | 257$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Sergey Fomin | 10c | 204.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Sergey Fomin | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sumit Nagal | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Sumit Nagal | 61c | 187.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sumit Nagal | 65c | 184.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Sergey Fomin | 35c | 162.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Sumit Nagal | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Sumit Nagal | 62c | 158.72$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sergey Fomin | 26c | 158.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Sumit Nagal | 78c | 141$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Sumit Nagal | 62c | 127$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sumit Nagal | 62c | 123.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sergey Fomin | 37c | 121.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sumit Nagal | 65c | 112.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Sumit Nagal | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sumit Nagal | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Sumit Nagal | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Sumit Nagal | 79c | 75.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…58c5backed Sumit Nagal | 63c | 74.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Sergey Fomin | 39c | 71.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 245 | 46.5%114 W · 131 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Sergey Fomin | 27c | 70.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sumit Nagal | 67c | 69.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Sergey Fomin | 37c | 65.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Sergey Fomin | 23c | 64.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Sergey Fomin | 23c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sumit Nagal | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Sumit Nagal | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sumit Nagal | 62c | 49.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Sumit Nagal | 80c | 49.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Sumit Nagal | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sumit Nagal | 65c | 41.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Sergey Fomin | 34c | 40.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e5…7b0fbacked Sumit Nagal | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…3abfbacked Sergey Fomin | 39c | 33.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 267 | 34.1%91 W · 176 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Sumit Nagal | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…3bc2backed Sumit Nagal | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Sergey Fomin | 39c | 25.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Sumit Nagal | 63c | 25.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Sumit Nagal | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Sumit Nagal | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Sumit Nagal | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Sumit Nagal | 75c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.