South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc5d8cbf8254f1ba2afec2d3852e43f780c8c510761c620098823ab7005bd348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 41c | 4,580$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.81 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 40c | 2,714$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.24 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 2,707$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.27 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 37c | 2,658$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Under | 60c | 1,983$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 1,909$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.23 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 59c | 1,476$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.95 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 60c | 1,382$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.97 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Under | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 58c | 1,047$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.36 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 778.28$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.41 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 60c | 771.41$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.38 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 50c | 699.11$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 53c | 569.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Over | 41c | 529.17$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.21 | 153 | 26.1%40 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 408.9$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 41c | 356.86$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Over | 53c | 324.46$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.41 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over | 51c | 308$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 285.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 20c | 249$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 230$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 59c | 135$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80f…34a9backed Under | 43c | 116.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 112.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 50c | 111.29$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 97.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 69c | 95.75$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Under | 60c | 81.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Over | 51c | 73.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 41c | 73.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 49c | 53.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 43c | 48.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 45.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 33.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…1f55backed Under | 60c | 31.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Under | 44c | 31.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 60c | 28.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…84d7backed Under | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…0451backed Under | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 53c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…1e19backed Over | 66c | 18.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 59c | 17.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5this page
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.