South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e7012cf54ac4fc528efd29996e26ef911a37fda2070967b53885ee6446a79d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagroof Santos FC, CA San Lorenzo de Almagro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Santos FC | 45c | 589.68$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Santos FC | 25c | 330.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 76c | 150.59$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Santos FC | 48c | 149$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Santos FC | 61c | 141.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 75c | 138$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Santos FC | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 75c | 106$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 58c | 95.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…0a9ebacked Santos FC | 45c | 89.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Santos FC | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Santos FC | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 48c | 49.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 53c | 33.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Santos FC | 76c | 21.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)this page
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.