South American Leagues · resolved market
Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0e256fd916e384be4d18644d16a9496087ec7f68896b0ed0a256ea0b10a3a30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 54c | 966$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.64 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 48c | 941.67$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.67 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 64c | 885.52$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.61 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 765.69$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.35 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 49c | 753.02$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.5 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 696.41$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 546.55$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 39c | 450$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 344.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.13 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 7c | 243.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 17c | 238$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 233.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 225$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.3 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4a…0314backed No | 53c | 212.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 48c | 156.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.97 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…abb5backed No | 52c | 127$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 48c | 89.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes | 45c | 77.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…bac4backed No | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 63.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Yes | 47c | 54.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Yes | 47c | 54.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed Yes | 47c | 51.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed Yes | 47c | 51.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 43.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 54c | 42.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 55c | 36.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 52c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Over won
- Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.