South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3396aee9b9e0e89d0b5c7bb77c8d455f184ec79b920e3cab882bdb889736ae68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b37…0eb2backed Under | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 4,459$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.58 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 52c | 3,822$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.35 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 26c | 1,100$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 1,056$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.86 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +247.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +438.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a3…0fcabacked Under | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 43c | 947.06$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.58 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba84…26efbacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 58c | 331.6$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 61c | 323.26$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 301.34$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 54c | 285.27$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.96 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 46c | 275.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 55c | 212.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…212dbacked Over | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 46c | 179.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.01 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 11c | 132$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 56c | 125.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 38c | 98.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 50c | 94.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 47c | 84.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 36c | 83.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb208…e0b2backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 41c | 46.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 60c | 41.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 34.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 45c | 32.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 47c | 22.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 67c | 21.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 75c | 17.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5this page
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5Over won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 3.5Under won
- Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Platense (-1.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
- Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)CA Platense won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.