South American Leagues · resolved market
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1330e4b52e56cd4c77e1f556ddda4a7af59c98922303810534764bf7beecd468
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,828 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 50c | 2,174$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.85 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 1,614$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 46c | 557.87$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.22 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 54c | 503.64$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 217.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 212.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed Yes | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cde…fcf5backed No | 51c | 178$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…cf31backed Yes | 49c | 174.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…fad5backed No | 51c | 172$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…189dbacked Yes | 49c | 167.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…0a21backed Yes | 49c | 165.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8da…7703backed Yes | 49c | 164.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1084…5379backed No | 51c | 161$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…6dd9backed No | 51c | 161$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…183cbacked Yes | 49c | 160.17$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc533…b9f7backed No | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfd…dd03backed No | 51c | 153$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…4235backed No | 51c | 149.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4af…3431backed Yes | 49c | 143.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da5…1a0bbacked Yes | 49c | 140.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1654…fa37backed Yes | 49c | 139.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c2…1e81backed Yes | 49c | 135.3$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…7ac1backed No | 51c | 135$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ede2backed No | 51c | 130.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb219…03f8backed Yes | 49c | 129.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…0187backed No | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 54.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 50c | 53.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 49c | 29.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked No | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b378backed Yes | 43c | 23.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
- Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5)SC Corinthians Paulista won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)Associação Chapecoense de Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.