Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x798cc24d83379582f5d5b732c89490255e36b49e8288c0b1b5c6117b59229c8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Saint-Germain FCof Paris Saint-Germain FC, Le Havre AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Le Havre AC | 65c | 1,480$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.53 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 750$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Le Havre AC | 62c | 538.03$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 38c | 530.34$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Le Havre AC | 57c | 441.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Le Havre AC | 62c | 238.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad85…ed5bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 191.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Le Havre AC | 60c | 166$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Le Havre AC | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 31c | 95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Le Havre AC | 60c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 123 | 39.8%49 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ff26backed Paris Saint-Germain FC | 35c | 46.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Le Havre AC | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Le Havre AC | 61c | 39.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Paris Saint-Germain FC | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…3bcebacked Le Havre AC | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Le Havre AC | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)this page
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.