Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x970105dec1d857973575264d17674d6b47c974cbe5dd697f6bc515f681676ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,499.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 35c | 24,375$8,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,843.92 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 4,065$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.22 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 2,717$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.96 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 40c | 1,980$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 44c | 1,548$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 35c | 1,256$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 1,149$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.28 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 34c | 1,015$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.59 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 37c | 678.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.49 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 63c | 512.48$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.54 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 425.46$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.93 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 52c | 358.92$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.78 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 291.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 131.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 121$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 45c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 50c | 80.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 59.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 37c | 59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -9.7wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 45c | 42.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 37.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ce…5fbdbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc189…b79bbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.