TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7a8…14f8backed Over47c21,231$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c18,723$10,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,540.091,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c18,316$9,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,595.7546048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over45c10,838$4,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,911.8538043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under56c10,043$5,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,449.995066%33 W · 17 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.944228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under54c8,189$4,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.8717853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70010232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Over45c5,200$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.871442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30018160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under55c3,352$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.5937544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Over45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.841850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over45c3,250$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.54030%12 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over44c2,599$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.566443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaec0…5a19backed Under57c2,442$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over44c1,674$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.8112956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under53c1,640$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.1230657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over45c1,588$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72015252%79 W · 73 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over40c1,551$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.213946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under65c1,536$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.718354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under56c1,422$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.098259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf9d8…65adbacked Over54c1,277$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c1,212$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.2833851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad34…4386backed Under56c1,202$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over45c1,110$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.624047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Over44c1,016$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+62.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49012354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4505048%24 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over43c961.39$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.43951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over52c949.99$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49122054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under54c912.39$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.6138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over47c857$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.53748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under55c844.98$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.439746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over46c826.09$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38016447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35219755.3%109 W · 88 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed Over51c590.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Over46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed Over44c545.45$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc2…9271backed Under57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22519344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Over44c477.27$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under51c443.98$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5518950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed Over46c440$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc0a…c2c4backed Under57c421.05$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Over48c418.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Over45c386.57$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.969046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under71c352.11$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.111181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over36c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.083740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2682…b08bbacked Under55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9336…bb4abacked Under56c264.68$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.83850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b1…9121backed Over46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Over32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Under76c250$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedc7…4fafbacked Under54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde00…6879backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd0…07a9backed Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed Over35c222.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.911127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c211.27$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4638748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e11…b5a8backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+197.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Under56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.825754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Under55c180.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.362842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Under60c166.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.922650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.53043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over47c150$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.58038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over69c145.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under57c129$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.728053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc994…f4ebbacked Over46c119.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over50c118.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.49841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Over45c112.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Under57c110.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.441957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc855…c479backed Over45c110.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70c8…cf43backed Over44c110$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…bbeebacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under54c107.16$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.294045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e03…0733backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over32c105.13$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.839762.9%61 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb54…8a7ebacked Under57c101.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over45c101.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.252343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Under53c100.27$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.73050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b3…c36cbacked Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3279…a922backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Under56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc7f…08d9backed Under55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed Under53c94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.186076.7%46 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-64.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.