Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Sussex vs Hampshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c8f54c310bfc0a83eb9c523f4c8ce0cdc31d20e7ba9583999a91ef91638f8e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hampshireof Sussex, Hampshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hampshire | 63c | 6,547$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.11 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Sussex | 38c | 6,056$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Hampshire | 62c | 3,201$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.46 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Sussex | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0389…847bbacked Hampshire | 58c | 2,898$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.94 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Sussex | 53c | 2,844$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.88 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sussex | 50c | 2,617$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.25 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sussex | 44c | 1,761$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.67 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Hampshire | 62c | 1,427$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.39 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sussex | 68c | 1,395$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.63 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Hampshire | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Sussex | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.29per pick | 34cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Hampshire | 62c | 860.32$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.92 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Sussex | 38c | 830.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hampshire | 79c | 443.73$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.35 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf962…938cbacked Hampshire | 47c | 430$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hampshire | 63c | 368.53$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.83 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Hampshire | 80c | 344$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hampshire | 68c | 291.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.26 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Sussex | 49c | 266$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hampshire | 60c | 255.12$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.07 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Sussex | 39c | 209.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.29 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Sussex | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf7…8279backed Hampshire | 54c | 168.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Hampshire | 60c | 150.27$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Sussex | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Sussex | 37c | 145$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 81 | 13.6%11 W · 70 L | -12.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Sussex | 55c | 138.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Sussex | 41c | 135.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Sussex | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Hampshire | 57c | 133.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sussex | 48c | 128.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed Hampshire | 63c | 115.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sussex | 57c | 115.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Sussex | 60c | 109$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hampshire | 51c | 101.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.16 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Hampshire | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Sussex | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hampshire | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Hampshire | 61c | 82.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sussex | 39c | 76.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hampshire | 59c | 73.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…b914backed Sussex | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Hampshire | 44c | 60.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9559…4781backed Sussex | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Sussex | 39c | 51.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed Hampshire | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Hampshire | 60c | 49.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15aa…ea31backed Hampshire | 55c | 47.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sussex | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a99…40d8backed Sussex | 51c | 44.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…b567backed Sussex | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Sussex | 38c | 41.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Sussex | 36c | 41.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…f02bbacked Sussex | 75c | 41.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hampshire | 64c | 41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hampshire | 54c | 36.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed Sussex | 40c | 35.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Hampshire | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Sussex | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…ebcabacked Hampshire | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Hampshire | 63c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Sussex | 42c | 28.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…8353backed Sussex | 37c | 28.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hampshire | 46c | 27.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Hampshire | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…3d6fbacked Sussex | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Sussex | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7719backed Hampshire | 62c | 18.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.