Europa Conference League · resolved market
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e616fbbf1bf1a682accd5ada99b085a479967d59df934ad0d7286dd56881d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 35c | 1,093$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.15 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed No | 15c | 1,062$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 774.84$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 554.08$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.13 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked No | 45c | 550$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 369.93$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.74 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 49c | 203.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 54c | 173.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…01b1backed No | 53c | 161.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 50c | 113.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 47c | 109.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 49c | 106.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked No | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked No | 50c | 99.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…ac48backed Yes | 47c | 69.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 51c | 69.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6b…709dbacked Yes | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…3904backed No | 48c | 59.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…8ac2backed Yes | 59c | 46.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Yes | 48c | 39.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 47c | 29.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 49c | 26.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 47c | 24.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 50c | 20.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: FK Mornar Bar O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: FK Mornar Bar O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes (-1.5)FK Mornar Bar won
- Spread: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes (-2.5)FK Mornar Bar won
- Spread: FK Mornar Bar (-1.5)Atlétic Club d'Escaldes won
- Spread: FK Mornar Bar (-2.5)Atlétic Club d'Escaldes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.