Europa Conference League · resolved market
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f418b4e890fbdae7c7cd2c9152c76f9a890fc15128e83bd265dbbe1cf86c3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 4,327$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.91 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 25c | 4,090$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.07 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…1999backed Under | 1c | 3,247$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 65c | 2,938$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.1 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 1,742$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.13 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 45c | 1,591$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.58 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 64c | 1,519$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.81 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 67c | 1,489$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.43 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 1,336$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.18 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…3904backed Under | 21c | 1,141$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…4357backed Over | 78c | 604.15$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 564.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 28c | 405.01$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 45c | 378.57$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 6c | 362$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 36c | 346.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 23c | 310.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under | 14c | 281.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 156 | 28.2%44 W · 112 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 69c | 279.88$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 47c | 232.14$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 220.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 68c | 170.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 53c | 166.28$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 64c | 138.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 67c | 135.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under | 34c | 113.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 65c | 106.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…da2fbacked Under | 42c | 104.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Under | 56c | 92.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 65c | 88.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 31c | 86.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 69.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 31c | 69.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 69c | 69.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 21c | 66.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 66c | 64.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…ca58backed Under | 20c | 59.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 57c | 44.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 79c | 42.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Under | 30c | 42.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…95f3backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 40c | 41.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…1ff8backed Under | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…61febacked Over | 42c | 36.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 46c | 32.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…3d52backed Over | 72c | 27.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -8.6wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 64c | 20.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 69c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 1.5this page
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: FK Mornar Bar O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: FK Mornar Bar O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes (-1.5)FK Mornar Bar won
- Spread: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes (-2.5)FK Mornar Bar won
- Spread: FK Mornar Bar (-1.5)Atlétic Club d'Escaldes won
- Spread: FK Mornar Bar (-2.5)Atlétic Club d'Escaldes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.