Europa Conference League · resolved market

Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca432c3076b116b1845c23ac330edfdf2229df9a21c45215a46e80e176ea97a0

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $30,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $35,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,921 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	67c	3,825$2,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,562.51	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under	50c	2,497$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.48	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	55c	2,204$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.79	978	46.2%452 W · 526 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over	40c	1,740$692 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.72	112	26.8%30 W · 82 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	30c	1,661$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168.41	2,478	33.9%840 W · 1,638 L	-95.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	60c	1,608$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.09	1,037	46.1%478 W · 559 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Over	40c	1,104$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.19	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	67c	982.29$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.48	2,344	41.6%976 W · 1,368 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	26c	855.13$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.93	1,611	38.8%625 W · 986 L	-19.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	46c	754.4$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.74	658	35.6%234 W · 424 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	59c	656.02$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.98	555	45.8%254 W · 301 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	41c	530.86$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.21	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+3.2wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+16%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over	44c	510$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.79	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Under	59c	508.71$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.84	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	60c	479.62$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.77	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Under	52c	444.73$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.35	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over	26c	400$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.25per pick	42cpaid	+74.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	34c	399.99$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	34c	330.96$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.2	797	32.2%257 W · 540 L	-16.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over	40c	300$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Over	40c	288$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.8	57	61.4%35 W · 22 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	26c	262.93$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.71	179	41.9%75 W · 104 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	67c	241.53$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.25	2,175	37.6%817 W · 1,358 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Over	40c	240$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	72	66.7%48 W · 24 L	+9.3wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	56c	215.22$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.23	1,573	55.7%876 W · 697 L	+25.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under	55c	215.04$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.73	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-4.2wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe748…c645backed Under	9c	211.76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under	70c	168.45$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.56	852	60.9%519 W · 333 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	42c	164.75$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.66	482	49.8%240 W · 242 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	55c	159.6$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.78	387	53%205 W · 182 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under	73c	152.41$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.26	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-2.7wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Under	58c	150$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+150%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over	40c	150$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	71	66.2%47 W · 24 L	+8.7wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under	54c	147.01$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.53	741	55.9%414 W · 327 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa597…79d7backed Under	58c	137.93$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under	50c	134.02$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.01	324	36.4%118 W · 206 L	-20.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over	42c	128.99$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.79	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over	43c	126.05$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.52	84	33.3%28 W · 56 L	-7.1wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.95	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	24c	117$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.27	334	46.7%156 W · 178 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Over	31c	115.59$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.76	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	16c	105$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.2	51	49%25 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Under	40c	102.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Under	60c	101.67$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	122	42.6%52 W · 70 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36c…da2fbacked Under	60c	101.67$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	60	35%21 W · 39 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e50…4b22backed Under	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	16c	100$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	278	46.4%129 W · 149 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over	34c	99.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over	15c	98.64$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.89	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	17c	87.88$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.73	239	50.2%120 W · 119 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	19c	75$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.75	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-8.6wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	19c	73.8$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.03	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	22c	73.21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.05	198	48%95 W · 103 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over	39c	72.13$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.13	102	38.2%39 W · 63 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over	31c	71.95$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.65	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over	41c	71.89$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.42	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Under	56c	71.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	152	24.3%37 W · 115 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Over	51c	67.54$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Over	42c	66.09$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.33	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over	57c	60$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d60…1ff8backed Under	65c	60$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a6b…709dbacked Over	60c	59.65$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.86	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under	59c	52.42$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.73	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	59c	48.45$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.59	571	49.6%283 W · 288 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f1b…6399backed Under	60c	47.85$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe760…19bdbacked Over	78c	47.76$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Under	41c	47.32$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	156	28.2%44 W · 112 L	-15.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over	31c	36.55$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.35	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48fe…825cbacked Under	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over	78c	31.72$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.89	42	90.5%38 W · 4 L	+10.6wins	+0.25per pick	65cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Under	66c	30.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.36per pick	69cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	60c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	920	50.9%468 W · 452 L	+14.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf75…cd85backed Under	58c	29.31$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.58per pick	58cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd04…c5e1backed Under	77c	25.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.66	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	76cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b78…1b80backed Under	52c	23.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under	58c	23.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	57c	22.86$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	1,117	35.8%400 W · 717 L	-13.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f2…131dbacked Under	58c	20.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under	60c	19.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	363	56.5%205 W · 158 L	+17.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Under	73c	16.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 2.5this page
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 0.5Over won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 1.5Over won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes O/U 2.5Under won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: FK Mornar Bar O/U 1.5Under won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: FK Mornar Bar O/U 2.5Under won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 0.5Over won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 1.5Over won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 3.5Under won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 4.5Under won
Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes (-1.5)FK Mornar Bar won
Spread: Atlétic Club d'Escaldes (-2.5)FK Mornar Bar won
Spread: FK Mornar Bar (-1.5)Atlétic Club d'Escaldes won
Spread: FK Mornar Bar (-2.5)Atlétic Club d'Escaldes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Atlétic Club d'Escaldes vs. FK Mornar Bar: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event