Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f6d76f2e5fd6751d3b54e77266b1f4b750af14a2918d0e2f5f7e859821bbe1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 19c | 2,295$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.35 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 2,282$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.16 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,053$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 24c | 1,513$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed No | 37c | 1,429$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 1,300$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.84 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 764.4$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.88 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 39c | 564.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.1 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 30c | 516.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 366.57$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.86 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 322.6$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Yes | 32c | 311.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 72c | 282.36$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.3 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 270.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed No | 74c | 268.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 18c | 243.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 20c | 226.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 166.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 71c | 156.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 59c | 141.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 30c | 136.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 60c | 116.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 69c | 109.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +7.6wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 29c | 78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 52c | 76.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 76.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 42c | 61.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 58.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 18c | 57.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 28c | 56.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked No | 41c | 53.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 24c | 53.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 44c | 45.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…f009backed No | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…f6e1backed Yes | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf56f…d8e9backed Yes | 52c | 38.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked No | 51c | 37.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 72c | 35.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 31.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed No | 78c | 27.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 73c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 72c | 25.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 53c | 25.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 73c | 23.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 67c | 22.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 61c | 21.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 70c | 18.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 75c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 72c | 14.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.