Asian League · resolved market
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eb22bb3b2ae74a7e18ff814da865f2fbf151afafbfb8d42760ebc28937df51b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66ea…6791backed No | 70c | 1,000$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 723.44$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.31 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 559.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.14 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 27c | 555$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 70c | 517.46$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 6c | 495$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 485$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 437.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 430.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 416$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 416$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 58c | 406.01$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.65 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 35c | 359$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 320.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 23c | 284.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 30c | 244.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 170.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 159.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 159.44$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 33c | 113.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 28c | 103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 97.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 91.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed No | 72c | 74.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 72c | 71.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 72c | 71.22$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 28c | 69.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed No | 22c | 69.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1af…e611backed Yes | 73c | 68.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 51c | 57.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…1434backed Yes | 77c | 56.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 75c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 28c | 49.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…bc20backed Yes | 27c | 46.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 37c | 40.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 39.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 69c | 38.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 33.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 77c | 30.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…6aa7backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 72c | 29.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 28.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 65c | 21.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed No | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 78c | 18.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked No | 70c | 17.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.