TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Brisbane Roar FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,141 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x813a…b67fbacked Over77c40,000$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under27c14,351$3,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,845.5698844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under46c8,610$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,938.342650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under25c4,398$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.014553.3%24 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under24c4,262$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.528747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under23c3,944$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.235246.2%24 W · 28 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over78c2,548$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over69c2,000$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.8214060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Over55c1,803$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under23c1,607$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under29c1,470$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.6146644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc518…b9bebacked Over53c1,391$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under23c1,329$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3643748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under22c1,186$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.581741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over79c1,132$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.441838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under39c1,023$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.1115140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under23c940.87$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.46352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…1376backed Over62c811.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+206.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Under50c695.14$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over58c597.16$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.963545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over73c568.35$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.873938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over80c515.1$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.021450%7 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over70c501.27$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.275066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153278.1%25 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over77c499.97$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.993745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over54c404.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.754146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Over55c360$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under24c339.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.412634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over54c308.34$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5911858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c303.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4447850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under26c293.76$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2919849%97 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over51c291.76$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.761855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under23c259.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.793158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under23c232$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.362240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9643…3e01backed Under50c215.51$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…866fbacked Under50c213.36$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6453…9a7dbacked Under50c207.57$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c8…e7eabacked Under50c204.86$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8748…a5cbbacked Under50c204.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe42…8e5cbacked Under50c203.57$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6f…9e3cbacked Under50c202.41$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb011…2447backed Under50c202.23$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce12…e22ebacked Under50c201.57$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ce…5893backed Under50c200.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a8…fea6backed Under50c199.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20e…ff0bbacked Under50c199.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1a…afd2backed Under50c199.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc5…f09fbacked Under50c198.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc403…9198backed Under50c198.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0843…d4c8backed Under50c196.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fb…6a96backed Under50c196.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f25…4938backed Under50c196.23$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over61c195.13$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.127254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cbf…7007backed Under50c194.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce04…f72ebacked Under50c194.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca77…d18cbacked Under50c194.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…3f99backed Under50c193.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e09…0fc3backed Under50c193.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ff…7898backed Under50c192.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1dc…9389backed Under50c189.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f20…836fbacked Under50c185.45$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82ef…0754backed Under50c183.13$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fb…5280backed Under50c182.17$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a71…01d3backed Under50c179.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under23c179.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.182564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdab5…95a1backed Under50c178.43$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over60c165.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.768353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over65c157.97$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.295352.8%28 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under34c137.65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.143345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under23c137.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.565846.6%27 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x997a…4cbebacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over59c105.49$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.734353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under23c105.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.215255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under23c103.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.72740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc2…5dbbbacked Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over60c97.65$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.931631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over57c82.4$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.438853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under23c80.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over69c79.96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.791241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under23c79.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.284938.8%19 W · 30 L-9.7wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-40.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212560%15 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Over71c65.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over62c62.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.77837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Under23c59.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.791533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over70c56.12$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.69977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc82b…4a75backed Under23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over63c51.94$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.56147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1310839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7106…867dbacked Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+136.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.54944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under23c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.53070%21 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+45.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under23c48.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.152250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.